Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
