Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
