Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Santos had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.
