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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 27, 2021 at 11pm UK
Allianz Parque
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Palmeiras
6 - 0
Universitario

Vina (42'), Rafael (45+2'), Gomez (55'), Willian (61'), Rony (78', 90')
Scarpa (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rugel (13'), Alonso (78'), Zevallos (79')
Quintero Medina (17')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 13.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawUniversitario
63.03%23.01%13.96%
Both teams to score 40.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12%56.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2%77.8%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72%48.28%
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.81%51.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.53%85.47%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 63.02%
    Universitario 13.96%
    Draw 23%
PalmeirasDrawUniversitario
1-0 @ 15.67%
2-0 @ 13.58%
2-1 @ 9.1%
3-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 5.26%
4-0 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.76%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 3.05%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.05%
1-2 @ 3.51%
0-2 @ 2.03%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 13.96%

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