Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.