Sao Paulo
1 - 1
Palmeiras

(Palmeiras win 4-1 on aggregate)

Luan (54')
Alves (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Paula (74')
Renan (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 1-0 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
27.24%	28.96%	43.8%

Both teams to score 42.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.54%

63.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.2%

82.8%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91%

40.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26%

76.74%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11%

28.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24%

64.76%

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 27.23%

Palmeiras 43.79%

Draw 28.95%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.23%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 14.38% 0-2 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.15% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.51% Total : 43.79%