Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
