SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cuiaba | Draw | Gremio |
| 31.28% | 27.85% | 40.87% |
| Both teams to score 47.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% | 34.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.22% | 70.78% |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% | 28.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.34% | 63.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cuiaba | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.27% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.8% Total : 40.87% |
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