Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 37%. A win for Santos had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
