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Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 10, 2021 at 8pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
G

Santos
1 - 0
Gremio

Leonardo (90+2')
Baptistao (45+1'), Jonatan (90+3'), Sanchez (90+6'), Tardelli (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodrigues (9'), Thiago (32'), Kannemann (47'), Costa (45+2'), Silva (67'), Rafinha (72')
Rafinha (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
SantosDrawGremio
44.3%28.25%27.45%
Both teams to score 44.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.91%61.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94%81.06%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02%62.97%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42%38.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68%75.32%
Score Analysis
    Santos 44.29%
    Gremio 27.45%
    Draw 28.25%
SantosDrawGremio
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 8.84%
2-1 @ 8.42%
3-0 @ 3.81%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 4.01%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.09%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.45%

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