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S
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jul 6, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
AP

Santos
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Guilherme (31'), Ivaldo (50' og.)
Fernandes (26'), Felipe (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Canesin (45+1')
Heleno (63'), Kayzer (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
SantosDrawAthletico Paranaense
51.48%26.99%21.53%
Both teams to score 42.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.21%60.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.16%80.84%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15%23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97%58.03%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.04%43.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91%80.1%
Score Analysis
    Santos 51.47%
    Athletico Paranaense 21.53%
    Draw 26.98%
SantosDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 15.02%
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 4.23%
4-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.54%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.53%

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