Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Santos had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.