Santos
2 - 1
Gremio

Marinho (20' pen., 78' pen.)
Jobson (21'), Marinho (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Souza (73')
Robinho (12'), Braz (78'), Rodrigues (90+1')
Braz (90+8')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Gremio
41.01%	27.46%	31.53%

Both teams to score 48.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.17%

56.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.24%

77.76%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76%

27.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34%

62.66%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87%

33.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27%

69.73%

Score Analysis

Santos 41%

Gremio 31.53%

Draw 27.46%

Santos	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.53%