Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.