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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Nov 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
 
AP

Sport
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Neves (53')
Barcia (56'), Maidana (66')
Patric (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Erick (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sport Recife in this match.

Result
Sport RecifeDrawAthletico Paranaense
39.51%28.25%32.25%
Both teams to score 46.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48%59.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13%79.87%
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63%29.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64%65.36%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97%34.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29%70.71%
Score Analysis
    Sport Recife 39.5%
    Athletico Paranaense 32.24%
    Draw 28.25%
Sport RecifeDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.01%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 39.5%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 32.24%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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