Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.