Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.