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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2020 at 12am UK
Castelao
VD

Ceara
0 - 3
Vasco


Lima (44'), Xavier (45+1'), Carvalho (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cano (68'), Bastos (78'), Ribamar (90+5')
Graca (33'), Andrey (44'), Henrique (60')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawVasco da Gama
36.77%29.02%34.21%
Both teams to score 44.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.07%61.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31%81.69%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26%68.74%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07%33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 36.76%
    Vasco da Gama 34.21%
    Draw 29.01%
CearaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.21%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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