SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 36.77% | 29.02% | 34.21% |
| Both teams to score 44.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.07% | 61.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.31% | 81.69% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.75% | 32.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.26% | 68.74% |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% | 33.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ceara | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.21% |
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