Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
46.75% | 26.5% | 26.74% |
Both teams to score 48.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% | 55.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% | 76.53% |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.35% | 23.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% | 57.74% |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64% | 36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.22% | 72.78% |
Score Analysis |
Santos | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.93% Total : 26.74% |
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