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Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
VD

Santos
2 - 2
Vasco

Verissimo (21'), Marinho (59')
Jobson (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bastos (41'), Cano (73' pen.)
Miranda (58'), Henrique (90+2'), Parede (90+5')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Vasco da Gama.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawVasco da Gama
46.75%26.5%26.74%
Both teams to score 48.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68%55.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47%76.53%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35%23.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26%57.74%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64%36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22%72.78%
Score Analysis
    Santos 46.75%
    Vasco da Gama 26.74%
    Draw 26.5%
SantosDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.27%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 26.74%


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