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Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
C

Vitoria
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Leonardo (71')
Janderson (32'), Luan (52'), Matheuzinho (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramon (66'), Lacerda (73'), Augusto (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Vitoria
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Vitoria 1-0 Cuiaba

Vitoria should be full of confidence given that they just upset Brazilian giants Palmeiras a few days after narrowly losing to the league-leaders Flamengo (2-1). We believe they will carry that momentum into this contest against a Cuiaba side that have been inconsistent away from home this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria in this match.

Result
VitoriaDrawCuiaba
34.2% (-0.769 -0.77) 28.11% (-0.307 -0.31) 37.69% (1.072 1.07)
Both teams to score 47.34% (0.822 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.24% (1.05 1.05)58.76% (-1.053 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.72% (0.808 0.81)79.28% (-0.813 -0.81)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.030999999999992 0.03)32.29% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.035 0.04)68.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (1.183 1.18)30.08% (-1.187 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (1.4 1.4)66.21% (-1.404 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 34.19%
    Cuiaba 37.68%
    Draw 28.11%
VitoriaDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 9.71% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 11.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.92% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.183 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.16 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.105 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Vitoria
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Vitoria
Sunday, July 21 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Vitoria
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Botafogo
Friday, July 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Criciuma
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino
Thursday, July 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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