With two of the Brasileiro's lowest-scoring teams going head to head, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. However, we can also see the hosts just about edging out their visitors to claim maximum points in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.