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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal
AP

Cuiaba
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Deyverson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Julimar (11'), Di Yorio (90+4')
Julimar (58'), Godoy (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino
Thursday, July 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Cuiaba 1-0 Athletico Paranaense

With two of the Brasileiro's lowest-scoring teams going head to head, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair. However, we can also see the hosts just about edging out their visitors to claim maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawAthletico Paranaense
34.91% (-1.202 -1.2) 28.32% (0.255 0.25) 36.77% (0.943 0.94)
Both teams to score 46.82% (-0.791 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.959 -0.96)59.43% (0.956 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.745 -0.75)79.81% (0.74100000000001 0.74)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-1.259 -1.26)32.16% (1.254 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-1.452 -1.45)68.65% (1.449 1.45)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (0.11199999999999 0.11)30.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (0.129 0.13)67.28% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 34.91%
    Athletico Paranaense 36.77%
    Draw 28.31%
CuiabaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.354 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino
Thursday, July 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 3 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Friday, July 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-1 Athletico PR
Friday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Ypiranga Erechim
Saturday, July 13 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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