Palmeiras have been in scintillating form on home turf and it is hard to bet against them getting the job done here. We are tipping the hosts to run out comfortable winners at the sound of the final whistle here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.15) 
