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Friday, April 26
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Jan 10, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
S

Augsburg
1 - 4
Stuttgart

Richter (46')
Gruezo (23'), Richter (73')
Richter (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gonzalez (10' pen.), Wamangituka (29'), Castro (61'), Didavi (87')
Anton (32'), Endo (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawStuttgart
14.41%18.45%67.13%
Both teams to score 55.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94%37.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.75%59.25%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73%38.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97%75.03%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82%10.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.56%33.44%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 14.41%
    Stuttgart 67.13%
    Draw 18.45%
AugsburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 4.11%
1-0 @ 3.74%
2-0 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.41%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.45%
0-2 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-1 @ 8.9%
0-3 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 7.44%
0-4 @ 4.42%
1-4 @ 4.25%
2-3 @ 3.57%
2-4 @ 2.04%
0-5 @ 2.02%
1-5 @ 1.94%
2-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 67.13%

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