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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
AL

Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 1
Augsburg


Kunze (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gouweleeuw (85')
Framberger (45+1'), Gruezo (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawAugsburg
36.02%24.87%39.11%
Both teams to score 58.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86%45.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52%67.48%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43%24.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95%59.05%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07%22.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3%56.7%
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 36.02%
    Augsburg 39.11%
    Draw 24.87%
Arminia BielefeldDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.17%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 36.02%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.11%

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