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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Dec 7, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
AL

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grillitsch (17', 46'), Bebou (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caligiuri (31')
Gumny (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
48.5%22.47%29.03%
Both teams to score 63.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.71%36.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.58%58.42%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64%15.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87%44.13%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.87%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 48.5%
    Augsburg 29.03%
    Draw 22.47%
HoffenheimDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.8%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 4.08%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.5%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 3.75%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.47%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-1 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%

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