Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
