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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
May 30, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
FD

Bayern
5 - 0
Dusseldorf

Jorgensen (15' og.), Pavard (29'), Lewandowski (43', 50'), Davies (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Karaman (26'), Suttner (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 13.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
70.51%15.99%13.49%
Both teams to score 62.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.22%26.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.79%47.21%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.18%6.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.88%25.12%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4%32.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86%69.13%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 70.51%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 13.49%
    Draw 15.99%
Bayern MunichDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 8.99%
3-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-0 @ 7.18%
1-0 @ 5.97%
4-1 @ 5.41%
4-0 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 4.51%
4-2 @ 3.03%
5-1 @ 2.91%
5-0 @ 2.59%
5-2 @ 1.63%
6-1 @ 1.3%
6-0 @ 1.16%
4-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.51%
1-1 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.04%
0-0 @ 2.22%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 15.99%
1-2 @ 3.75%
0-1 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-3 @ 1.4%
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 13.49%


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