Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.93%) and 0-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
