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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
May 26, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
0 - 1
Bayern


Hummels (13'), Dahoud (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kimmich (43')
Muller (66'), Davies (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.93%) and 0-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
25.92%21.6%52.48%
Both teams to score 64.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.47%34.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.54%56.46%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52%60.47%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59%13.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.64%40.36%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 25.92%
    Bayern Munich 52.48%
    Draw 21.6%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.4%
1-0 @ 4.68%
2-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.92%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 3.43%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.6%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 6.93%
0-1 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 6.32%
0-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 4.31%
1-4 @ 3.18%
0-4 @ 2.33%
2-4 @ 2.16%
1-5 @ 1.28%
3-4 @ 0.98%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 52.48%


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