Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.