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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
HL

Freiburg
1 - 2
Hoffenheim

Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Hoffenheim

This game could go either way with both sides riding the crest of a wave at the moment. We foresee an action-packed, exciting game with plenty of goalmouth action and are going to back a high-scoring draw - with neither team having seen a stalemate in their last six games, they are certainly overdue one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
42.44%24.39%33.17%
Both teams to score 59.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55%43.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15%65.85%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39%20.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84%53.16%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6%25.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78%60.22%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 42.44%
    Hoffenheim 33.17%
    Draw 24.39%
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.95%
1-0 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.17%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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