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Thursday, March 28
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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
HL

Freiburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Grifo (81' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kramaric (40')
Bebou (48'), Samassekou (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
39.43%24.53%36.04%
Both teams to score 59.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.47%43.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08%65.92%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6%55.4%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19%23.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02%57.98%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 39.43%
    Hoffenheim 36.04%
    Draw 24.53%
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.61%
1-0 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-2 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.43%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-1 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.06%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 36.04%

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