Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.