We said: Hertha Berlin 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Whilst Hertha have been struggling of late, it is impossible to ignore that their opponents have won just once all season. The visitors might be coming up against one of the Bundesliga's weakest defences, but they are the lowest-scoring side in the league with just 10 goals scored in 14 games and we expect that to continue on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
