We said: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Augsburg
Despite the differing forms of the two sides, we are predicting the side with a poor run of form in recent weeks to come out victorious here - Hertha.
Augsburg are yet to win on their travels this season and have managed just two goals on the road, so with Hertha playing host on Saturday, as well as their strong recent record over their opponents, we can see them recording a vital victory in front of their own supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
