Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
