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KL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
HB

FC Koln
3 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Modeste (41'), Kainz (52', 55')
Hubers (16'), Czichos (67'), Thielmann (77'), Skhiri (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jovetic (6')
Plattenhardt (90'), Serdar (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHertha Berlin
44.38%25.74%29.88%
Both teams to score 53.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42%72.58%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54%56.46%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86%31.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53%67.47%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 44.38%
    Hertha Berlin 29.88%
    Draw 25.74%
FC KolnDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.27%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.88%

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