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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
BM

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Widmer (76')
Jae-sung (31'), Bell (45'), Boetius (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neuhaus (38')
Elvedi (22'), Kone (64'), Bensebaini (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
35.94%25.63%38.42%
Both teams to score 55.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42%48.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3%70.7%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 35.94%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 38.42%
    Draw 25.63%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Monchengladbach
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.94%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.42%

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