Mainz 05
2 - 3
Borussia M'bach

Mateta (23', 36')
Kunde (49'), Jannis Kilian (61'), Niakhate (75'), Latza (77'), Zentner (83')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Stindl (15'), Hofmann (76' pen.), Ginter (83')
Embolo (53'), Neuhaus (62'), Thuram (84')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's match between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
25.04%	23.04%	51.92%

Both teams to score 58.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79%

42.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.38%

64.62%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63%

30.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44%

66.56%

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68%

16.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1%

45.9%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 25.04%

Borussia Monchengladbach 51.92%

Draw 23.03%

Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3% Total : 25.04%	1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.66% 0-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 1.58% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.92%