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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
ML

B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Mainz 05

Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
52.44%22.74%24.82%
Both teams to score 59.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95%41.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56%63.44%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28%15.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.2%44.8%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.99%66.01%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 52.44%
    Mainz 05 24.82%
    Draw 22.74%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.71%
1-0 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 24.82%

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