Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.