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ML
Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Jan 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
EF

Mainz 05
0 - 2
Frankfurt


Niakhate (22'), Quaison (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (24' pen., 72' pen.)
Hasebe (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
32.83%24.82%42.35%
Both teams to score 57.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46%45.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13%67.87%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15%61.85%
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48%21.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41%54.59%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.83%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 42.35%
    Draw 24.81%
Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-1 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 4.58%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 3.03%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 42.35%

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