SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 30.49% | 24.75% | 44.76% |
| Both teams to score 56.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.55% | 68.45% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% | 20.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.71% | 53.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 4.82% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.76% |
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