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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
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Bayern
5 - 2
Mainz 05

Kimmich (50'), Sane (55'), Sule (70'), Lewandowski (76' pen., 83')
Boateng (32'), Alaba (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (32'), Hack (44')
Boetius (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
84.2%9.58%6.22%
Both teams to score 61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.4%16.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.89%33.11%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.21%2.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.23%12.76%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.95%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 84.2%
    Mainz 05 6.22%
    Draw 9.58%
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
3-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.12%
4-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.58%
5-0 @ 5.11%
5-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.89%
1-0 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 3.49%
6-0 @ 3.05%
6-1 @ 3.02%
5-2 @ 2.5%
7-0 @ 1.56%
7-1 @ 1.55%
6-2 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 84.2%
1-1 @ 3.67%
2-2 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
0-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.58%
1-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.22%

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