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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
LL

Mainz 05
0 - 5
RB Leipzig


Kunde (20'), Bruma (31'), St Juste (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Werner (11', 48', 75'), Poulsen (23'), Sabitzer (36')
Sabitzer (13'), Upamecano (17'), Werner (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
20.73%20.26%59%
Both teams to score 62.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86%34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.02%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.51%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 20.73%
    RB Leipzig 59.01%
    Draw 20.26%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 4.11%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 4.28%
1-4 @ 3.8%
0-4 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.01%


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