SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.51% ( 0.12) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 42.1% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.12) | 43.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% ( -0.11) | 65.73% ( 0.11) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.02) | 25.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.13% ( 0.02) | 59.86% ( -0.02) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.12) | 20.71% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.68% ( -0.19) | 53.32% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.1% |
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