SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 3-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
56.94% ( -0.03) | 20.44% ( 0) | 22.62% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.69% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.52% ( 0.03) | 32.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.88% ( 0.04) | 54.12% ( -0.04) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% ( 0) | 11.45% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.74% ( 0.01) | 36.26% ( -0) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( 0.04) | 26.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( 0.06) | 62.29% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.94% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.44% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 22.62% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
