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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
LL

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With only the reigning champions Bayern scoring more goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, it would be a major surprise if those in attendance at MHPArena and watching on from home are not treated to plenty of goals on Sunday. Wirtz's potential absence through injury would be a major blow for Leverkusen, who may need to avoid defeat to return to the top of the table. Stuttgart are yet to draw a league game this season, but we can envisage them sharing the spoils for the first time this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
30.18% (0.108 0.11) 25.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 44.7% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.161 0.16)47.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.148 0.15)70.07% (-0.154 -0.15)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.15300000000001 0.15)29.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.19 0.19)65.52% (-0.196 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 30.18%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.7%
    Draw 25.12%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-0 Union Berlin
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Qarabag 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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