SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
30.18% ( 0.11) | 25.12% ( -0.03) | 44.7% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( 0.16) | 47.89% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( 0.15) | 70.07% ( -0.15) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( 0.15) | 29.51% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% ( 0.19) | 65.52% ( -0.2) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( 0.03) | 21.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( 0.04) | 54.45% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.18% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.7% |
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