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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
 
DL

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Dortmund

Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
30.37%23.98%45.65%
Both teams to score 59.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.32%42.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.92%65.08%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.05%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62%50.38%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 30.37%
    Borussia Dortmund 45.65%
    Draw 23.97%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.32%
1-0 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 4.39%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 9.25%
0-1 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.39%
1-4 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 45.65%

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