SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.51%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 17.6% and a draw had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 65.51% | 16.89% | 17.6% |
| Both teams to score 70.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.58% | 22.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.53% | 41.47% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.36% | 6.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.35% | 24.65% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% | 25.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 5.31% 4-1 @ 5.19% 1-0 @ 4.51% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-2 @ 3.6% 5-1 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-2 @ 1.95% 4-3 @ 1.66% 6-1 @ 1.27% 6-0 @ 0.92% 5-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.84% Total : 65.51% | 1-1 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 2.45% 0-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.67% Total : 16.89% | 1-2 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-1 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.74% Total : 17.6% |
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