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Champions League | Round of 16
Mar 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
SL

Dortmund
2 - 2
Sevilla

Braut Haaland (35', 54' pen.)
Morey (20'), Braut Haaland (55'), Can (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
En-Nesyri (69' pen., 90+6')
Acuna (40'), Kounde (51'), Jordan (55'), Oscar (71'), Fernando (76'), Carlos (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
38.37%24.56%37.07%
Both teams to score 59.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.41%43.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01%65.99%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38%22.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77%56.24%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.71%23.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.77%57.23%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 38.37%
    Sevilla 37.07%
    Draw 24.56%
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 8.48%
1-0 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.37%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 37.07%

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