Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.