Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.