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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
HB

Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Hertha Berlin

Klunter (38' og.), Lacroix (89')
Otavio (45'), Mbabu (47'), Pongracic (48'), Bialek (90+5')
Pongracic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawHertha Berlin
56.22%23.06%20.72%
Both teams to score 52.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94%47.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7%69.3%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46%16.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69%46.31%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 56.22%
    Hertha Berlin 20.72%
    Draw 23.06%
WolfsburgDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 5.93%
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 0.96%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 56.22%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 6.11%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 20.72%

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